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i have a poll here about who's likely to win the debate and very clearly, people think that obama will, 55% to 31%. yet, i would say that the favorite really ought to be mitt romney, purely because he spent most of the year debating against very good debaters like newt gingrich and rick santorum and others. they were very capable opponents on a debate stage. barack obama hasn't done this for four years. so i would think the advantage would definitely be with the apparent underdog, a, because people don't think he's going to win and i think he may well win that first debate and secondly, because he's the more experienced debater. >> well, i think i would caution you a little bit. i think the president, when he has given kind of press interviews, that is a form of being pressed on things so maybe you're not debating another opponent one-on-one, but you are going through the process of answering questions and tough questions and people are not letting you squirm out of things. i think you do have to pull that down a little bit. i do believe that mitt romney has not demonstrated that he's
i have a poll here about who's likely to win the debate and very clearly, people think that obama will, 55% to 31%. yet, i would say that the favorite really ought to be mitt romney, purely because he spent most of the year debating against very good debaters like newt gingrich and rick santorum and others. they were very capable opponents on a debate stage. barack obama hasn't done this for four years. so i would think the advantage would definitely be with the apparent underdog, a, because...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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there was a poll suffolk university had out just tonight that had obama up by two. so it is true you've got obama up in swing states like virginia by small margins. but there's become this narrative that's really developed over the last week that the race is starting to get away from governor romney that i think is not really founded in necessarily good data. you know, out of five polls that will come out in the week, there's always one poll that will show some margin where it shows obama winning a state like virginia or ohio or florida by a margin that's greater than he won it in 2008. i think governor romney's a stronger candidate. i think the fundamentals are better for republicans. i have a very hard time believing some of these polls that are showing, you know, obama up by ten points in a place like ohio, and especially virginia. i do expect to be in the republican column come november. >> charles blow, one of the reasons people are believing this momentum is that every poll now appears to be widening. that may be an exaggeration. i'm sure we can find one or tw
there was a poll suffolk university had out just tonight that had obama up by two. so it is true you've got obama up in swing states like virginia by small margins. but there's become this narrative that's really developed over the last week that the race is starting to get away from governor romney that i think is not really founded in necessarily good data. you know, out of five polls that will come out in the week, there's always one poll that will show some margin where it shows obama...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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>> right now obama in the polls is at 53%. it means it is not good enough for romney to pick up the undecided voters. which might mean like a crisis and you rup. the bullish sign has been in the stock market which has been getting jittery like spain and europe. romney is running out of time like routine things like the debate. l bill clinton told me that the debates are going to be crucial for romney. the first debate if he can turn around the 47% fiasco. it could be a disaster. the impression he gave that comes with being a wealthy detached guy not caring about people who need help. what would you recommend he do? >> i think the 47% comment revealed, he wasn't doing what you should do play to the center. he has written off peak who have the median income and below. the text book strategy is can you find a way. he is not taughting out ideology saying i can be a reasonable manager. that was his message at first sand he is trying to find different approaches which is what you do when you are losing and he should have stuck to th
>> right now obama in the polls is at 53%. it means it is not good enough for romney to pick up the undecided voters. which might mean like a crisis and you rup. the bullish sign has been in the stock market which has been getting jittery like spain and europe. romney is running out of time like routine things like the debate. l bill clinton told me that the debates are going to be crucial for romney. the first debate if he can turn around the 47% fiasco. it could be a disaster. the...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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latest polls covered with that 47% remark hurting romney. in the battleground state of pennsylvania today. >> -- make sure america leads in our homes, in our economy and in our military. i need something from you. that's my commitment to you. i need you to go out and find somebody who voted for barack obama and get him to vote for me. >> he's down but not out. can he turn it around with an october surprise? let's welcome stephanie cutter. it's going reasonably well for you guys. it's been a good couple weeks, really since the conventions. you've got a bit of momentum but i guess you're not taking this too complacently. >> no, absolutely not, piers. you know, debates can be a pivotal moment in campaigns. i remember eight years ago when john kerry was getting ready to debate george bush, we were eight points down. coming out of that first debate we were tied with george bush. so there is an opportunity for mitt romney if he takes advantage of it next wednesday night, to turn the momentum around. he not only has to win this debate but has to ch
latest polls covered with that 47% remark hurting romney. in the battleground state of pennsylvania today. >> -- make sure america leads in our homes, in our economy and in our military. i need something from you. that's my commitment to you. i need you to go out and find somebody who voted for barack obama and get him to vote for me. >> he's down but not out. can he turn it around with an october surprise? let's welcome stephanie cutter. it's going reasonably well for you guys....
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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suggest that barack obama right now would win. how has he managed to avoid public retribution for not fixing the economy better than he has done? >> because this is not a normal time, and the damage done to the economy could not be fully repaired in four years, and most of the debt that's been run up on his watch is a direct result of the economic collapse, first the recession that began in 2007 and the economic collapse that happened in 2008, which has driven tax revenues down below 15% of income for the first time in 50 years, and driven spending above 21% of income, because so many people are on unemployment and food stamps and medicaid. medical assistance. if we had -- when the economy recovers a higher rate of growth, which it will in the next year or so, what's going to happen is with nothing happening, tax receipts will go up to about 17%, spending will drop to under 21%. there will still be a substantial deficit but it will be much smaller. president obama's main contribution to this $16 billion debt which is -- a $1 trill
suggest that barack obama right now would win. how has he managed to avoid public retribution for not fixing the economy better than he has done? >> because this is not a normal time, and the damage done to the economy could not be fully repaired in four years, and most of the debt that's been run up on his watch is a direct result of the economic collapse, first the recession that began in 2007 and the economic collapse that happened in 2008, which has driven tax revenues down below 15%...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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the latest national cnn poll has president obama with a four point lead over governor romney against the backdrop of the political race in this country and turmoil in the middle east, it seemed the perfect time to sit down with ahmadinejad at his world hotel for a world exclusive on everything from the political to the personal. mr. president, welcome to new york. many americans see you at public enemy number one. how do you feel about that? >> translator: the creator, the almighty and most gracious and the most merciful, good morning to you. i wish to greet all of the wonderful people of the united states and all of the people who will see your program. at the end of the day, if you do have personal animosity towards me, don't transfer that on to the rest of the people of the united states. we love the people of the united states and they also wish in return peace and stability for all of the world. >> you've come here to make a speech to the united nations. many are saying it's the most important speech of your life. do you feel that? >> translator: no. this is not the most importa
the latest national cnn poll has president obama with a four point lead over governor romney against the backdrop of the political race in this country and turmoil in the middle east, it seemed the perfect time to sit down with ahmadinejad at his world hotel for a world exclusive on everything from the political to the personal. mr. president, welcome to new york. many americans see you at public enemy number one. how do you feel about that? >> translator: the creator, the almighty and...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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real error in the polling or october surprise. he has a little window now but the thing is you lose time and if you want to switch to a sports analogy, right f obama leads by a touchdown, so to speak, in the first quarter it doesn't mean much. but we are in the fourth quarter and romney just maybe fumbled giving obama interception again. nothing impossible but you need a couple of good breaks. >> many predictions fail. nate silver, thank you. >>> coming up, celebrity, power, success and the importance of helping others. my all-star panel at the clinton global initiative. [ male announcer ] every day, thousands of people are choosing advil®. here's one story. i'm sean. i switched to advil® 10 months ago. biking can be really tough on the lower back and your upper thighs. you have some nasty aches and pains. i really like advil® because it takes care of it all. neck ache, shoulder pain and definitely lower back pain. i use advil® because my wife, she's a nurse, she recommended it. [ male announcer ] make the switch. take action.
real error in the polling or october surprise. he has a little window now but the thing is you lose time and if you want to switch to a sports analogy, right f obama leads by a touchdown, so to speak, in the first quarter it doesn't mean much. but we are in the fourth quarter and romney just maybe fumbled giving obama interception again. nothing impossible but you need a couple of good breaks. >> many predictions fail. nate silver, thank you. >>> coming up, celebrity, power,...